"...mass-produce 40-inch or larger OLED displays in the late 2010s..."
ummm...well, dammit.
I've been hearing about OLED's as the great replacement for LCD since at least 2002. Better colors, less power, true blacks, etc. etc.
It took Sony 5 years after that to come out with a $2000 11-inch screen that uses more power than a $200, 20" LCD. Oh, and the colors on Sony's OLED fade out at different rates, with a faster than expected decay, so you really only get the better color for a few years before the balance is likely to be out of whack.
And just NOW these companies are getting together to actually try to achieve the theoretical benefits of OLED? And their goal is the "late 2010's!!??!" So...2016 at the earliest, maybe 2019, for an OLED panel 40" in size that finally achieves the benefits that will, by that time, have been touted for over 15 years?
Cripes...in 8 years, LCD's and plasmas will probably have improved beyond what OLED can offer. We'll probably have $1000 80" LCD panels with IMLED backlights, providing super low power, 48-bit color or better, and a huge dynamic range. Then OLED will come plopping out with a $2000 40" set, and look just as pricey-niche-market as Sony's 11" set does today.
If they aren't going to be on top of this stuff for another 8-10 years, why were they getting my hopes up 6 years ago? All they did was make me believe super OLED TV's were a couple years away and prevented me from buying into the current, seemingly near-obsolete, market.
Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
EQC @ Jul 18th 2008 1:40AM
"...mass-produce 40-inch or larger OLED displays in the late 2010s..."
ummm...well, dammit.
I've been hearing about OLED's as the great replacement for LCD since at least 2002. Better colors, less power, true blacks, etc. etc.
It took Sony 5 years after that to come out with a $2000 11-inch screen that uses more power than a $200, 20" LCD. Oh, and the colors on Sony's OLED fade out at different rates, with a faster than expected decay, so you really only get the better color for a few years before the balance is likely to be out of whack.
And just NOW these companies are getting together to actually try to achieve the theoretical benefits of OLED? And their goal is the "late 2010's!!??!" So...2016 at the earliest, maybe 2019, for an OLED panel 40" in size that finally achieves the benefits that will, by that time, have been touted for over 15 years?
Cripes...in 8 years, LCD's and plasmas will probably have improved beyond what OLED can offer. We'll probably have $1000 80" LCD panels with IMLED backlights, providing super low power, 48-bit color or better, and a huge dynamic range. Then OLED will come plopping out with a $2000 40" set, and look just as pricey-niche-market as Sony's 11" set does today.
If they aren't going to be on top of this stuff for another 8-10 years, why were they getting my hopes up 6 years ago? All they did was make me believe super OLED TV's were a couple years away and prevented me from buying into the current, seemingly near-obsolete, market.